Facets Focus: Who Covers, Who Doesn’t, NFL Week 1

NFL Sunday is BACK! Here are our week one picks!

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Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears (+5.0) –> Packers

Cutler is 1-10 versus the Pack in his career and let’s face it, the Bears aren’t a very good team. Even without the footballing farmer for the year, look for the leagues best QB to torch the bears defense week one.

Cleveland Browns vs. New York Jets (-3.5) –> Jets

Both teams are improved from a year ago, but the Jets happened to bring back their own personal island. I think it’s called Revis Island. I expect Darrelle to have a BIG first game back with New York. Don’t sleep on Ryan Fitzpatrick, who seems to always be under the radar.

Seattle Seahawks vs. St. Louis Rams (+3.5) –> Rams

The defending NFC champs are coming back from an insanely difficult Super Bowl loss and I do expect them to win this game. That being said, it will be a close game in which the Rams cover the spread. The Rams seemingly play the Hawks tough often and I don’t expect it to change today.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans (-1.0) –> Chiefs

JJ Watt and Jadeveon Clowney are finally taking the field together and will be giving Alex Smith trouble all afternoon. But Alex Smith finally has some wide-receiver on the outside, Jeremy Maclin, that will actually catch a touchdown pass which will open up the running game for Jamaal Charles. Chiefs by a touchdown.

Miami Dolphins vs. Washington Redskins (+3.5) –> Dolphins

The Fins have A LOT of offensive weapons coming into the season and are my sleeper pick of the season. The Skins are starting turnover prone Kirk Cousins who will be seeing a lot of the Miami defensive line in his backfield. He may need to put a lawsuit against them, he may need to Suh.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills (+1.5) –> Colts

This just in: The Colts have a running game to help out Andrew Luck! Frank Gore is going to do wonders on the ground, but maybe even importantly, he’s going to do wonders for the offense as a whole. I like Tyrod Taylor and I think he’ll succeed but will be outdone by Luck and the Colts.

Carolina Panthers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) –> Jaguars

I really like what Jacksonville has done the past few years with their franchise and I think it will begin to show in 2015-2016. Losing Kelvin Benjamin hurts Cam A LOT as his weapons continue to dwindle form year to year. Look for a big game from Blake Bortles & TJ Yeldon. Jags by a field goal.

Detroit Lions vs. San Diego Chargers (-3.0) –> Chargers

Losing Suh flat-out hurts. No way around it. A healthy Calvin Johnson should mean big things to come for the Lions offense but not in week one in San Diego where Rivers and his big new shiny contract will torch the Lions secondary for 350+ passing yards.

New Orleans Saints vs. Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) –> Cardinals

A healthy Carson Palmer is the biggest thing for the Cardinals. Cards were 6-0 with him at the helm in 2014, 5-5 without him. The Saints had a load of changes on both sides of the ball and I expect it to take a few weeks for them to gel. Cards by 4.

Tennessee Titans vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.0) –> Bucs

Sure it’s Titans vs. Bucs and sure there are 50+ other players on each roster, but today it’s about the two top picks in this years draft; Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota. A fun week one match-up for teams that won’t be very good going forward. Look for Jameis to prevail over Mariota, like he did in the draft.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Denver Broncos (-4.5) –> Broncos

Last year we saw what Peyton did to the Ravens defense during week one and I expect something of that again. SUre it’s a different offense under new coach Gary Kubiak but Peyton will be Peyton as always. A double-digit win for the Broncos who will score a few touchdowns on the ground with CJ Anderson

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Oakland Raiders (+3.0) –> Bengals

The Raiders have a YOUNG and exciting offense coming into this season. They also have two pass rushers, now that they’ve recently signed Aldon Smith to play on the other side of last years first round pick Khalil Mack, that can do some serious damage. That being said, it may take some time to gain some cohesiveness, Bengals by 10.

New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys (+6.5) –> Giants

The always exciting divisional match-up is looking like it will be an offensive affair. Dallas is happy to have star linebacker Sean Lee back but the six and half spread is a daunting task to pull off for Dallas. They may and probably will win the game, but if they do it’ll be by a field goal.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Atlanta Falcons (+3.0) –> Eagles

Chip Kelly has some new toys to play with in the form of Sam Bradford, DeMarco Murray, Ryan Mathews, and Nelson Agholar and they’ll be in flight on Monday night. Look for a huge output for the Eagles. The three-point spread is an easy pick, Philly BIG.

Minnesota Vikings vs. San Francisco 49ers (+2.5) –> Vikings

No Borland, Smith x2, Willis. Minnesota gets AP back. BLOWOUT.

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